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STRYKER CORP (SYK) Q4 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q4 2024 delivered double‑digit growth: net sales rose 10.7% to $6.44B, organic growth 10.2%, and adjusted EPS increased 15.9% to $4.01, while GAAP EPS fell 52.7% to $1.41 due to Spine‑related goodwill and asset impairments totaling $818M .
  • 2025 guidance: organic net sales growth of 8–9% and adjusted EPS of $13.45–$13.70; FX headwind ~1% to sales and ~$0.10–$0.15 to EPS; adjusted operating margin targeted at 26.3% .
  • Portfolio actions: pending Inari acquisition expected to add ~$590M of 2025 sales (10‑month stub), dilute adjusted op margin by 0–20 bps and EPS by $0.20–$0.30; sale of Spinal Implants will be absorbed within guidance .
  • Operational momentum: record Mako installations, robust hospital CapEx demand, and broad‑based double‑digit growth in MedSurg/Neurotechnology and Trauma & Extremities underpin margin expansion despite higher interest expense and FX headwinds .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Double‑digit organic growth with margin expansion; adjusted operating margin up 200 bps to 29.2% in Q4 and +110 bps to 25.3% for FY, driven by positive pricing, manufacturing cost improvements, and mix .
  • Mako momentum: “record quarter and year of installations,” with U.S. approaching ~2/3 knees and ~1/3 hips using Mako; global ~45% knees and ~20% hips; first Mako Spine cases completed; FDA approval for Mako Shoulder .
  • Capital demand robust: healthy procedural volumes and strong order books in Medical, Instruments, Endoscopy (e.g., LIFEPAK 35) supporting double‑digit growth and elevated capital pipeline .

What Went Wrong

  • GAAP earnings impacted by Spine impairments: Q4 reported operating margin 9.0% and diluted EPS $1.41, reflecting $818M non‑cash charges tied to goodwill and assets held for sale in Spine .
  • FX headwinds and higher interest expense: ~0.5% FX drag on Q4 sales and ~$0.05 drag on Q4 adjusted EPS; other income/expense higher on debt issuance, with ~$260M expected in 2025 .
  • Orthopaedics pricing still modest at +0.3% in Q4 (vs volume +9.9%), highlighting continued need for mix and innovation leverage despite solid subsegment performance .

Financial Results

MetricQ2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024
Revenue ($USD Billions)$5.422 $5.494 $6.436
Reported Diluted EPS ($)$2.14 $2.16 $1.41
Adjusted EPS ($)$2.81 $2.87 $4.01
Reported Gross Margin %63.0% 64.0% 64.9%
Adjusted Gross Margin %64.2% 64.5% 65.3%
Reported Operating Margin %19.4% 19.7% 9.0%
Adjusted Operating Margin %24.6% 24.7% 29.2%

YoY context: Q4 net sales +10.7%; reported diluted EPS −52.7%; adjusted EPS +15.9% .

Segment Breakdown – Q4 2024

Segment/SubsegmentQ4 2023 Sales ($MM)Q4 2024 Sales ($MM)As Reported % ChangeConstant Currency % Change
MedSurg & Neurotechnology (Total)$3,511 $3,882 10.6% 11.1%
• Instruments$726 $790 8.8% 9.1%
• Endoscopy$902 $1,006 11.5% 12.3%
• Medical$1,042 $1,142 9.6% 10.1%
• Neurovascular$320 $341 6.8% 7.8%
• Neuro Cranial$521 $603 15.5% 15.8%
Orthopaedics (Total)$2,304 $2,554 10.8% 11.3%
• Knees$630 $687 9.0% 9.5%
• Hips$414 $463 11.6% 12.2%
• Trauma & Extremities$860 $996 15.8% 16.1%
• Spinal Implants$181 $186 3.2% 3.7%
• Other Orthopaedics$219 $222 1.3% 2.2%

Geography: U.S. sales $4,873 (+11.8%), International $1,563 (+7.2%; +9.2% cc) .

KPIs and Mix Drivers

KPIQ2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024
Organic Net Sales Growth (%)9.0% 11.5% 10.2%
Unit Volume Contribution (%)7.9% 10.3% 9.1%
Pricing Contribution (%)+1.1% +1.2% +1.1%
FX Impact on Sales (%)−0.9% −0.1% −0.5%

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Organic Net Sales GrowthFY 2025N/A8.0%–9.0% New
Adjusted EPSFY 2025N/A$13.45–$13.70 New
FX ImpactFY 2025N/A~1% sales headwind; −$0.10 to −$0.15 EPS New
Adjusted Operating MarginFY 2025N/A~26.3% target New
Other Income/ExpenseFY 2025N/A~$260M New
Effective Tax RateFY 2025N/A15%–16% New
CapExFY 2025N/A$800–$850M New
Inari Stub SalesFY 2025N/A~$590M (10 months) New
Inari DilutionFY 2025N/A0–20 bps op margin; −$0.20 to −$0.30 EPS New
Spine Divestiture ImpactFY 2025N/AAbsorbed in guidance Maintained
DividendQ4 2024Prior $0.80$0.84 (+5%) payable Jan 31, 2025 Raised

Note: Q1 2025 will have one fewer selling day; seasonality similar to 2024 .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q2 and Q3)Current Period (Q4 2024)Trend
Margin ExpansionCommitment to expand margins; adjusted OI margin 24.6% in Q2 ; 24.7% in Q3 Adjusted OI margin 29.2% in Q4; FY 25.3%; drivers: pricing, manufacturing, mix Improving
Capital Equipment DemandHealthy demand supporting guidance in Q2/Q3 Robust hospital CapEx budgets; elevated order book; LIFEPAK 35 traction Sustained strength
Robotics (Mako)Ongoing adoption in knees/hips Record installs; Mako Spine first cases; Mako Shoulder FDA approval; measured rollouts Broadening scope
Spine StrategySpine reported within Orthopaedics & Spine in Q2/Q3 Sale of Spinal Implants; enabling tech remains; interventional spine moved to Neuro Cranial Portfolio reshaping
PricingPositive pricing benefit ~0.5%–1.0% (Q2/Q3) +1.1% price in Q4; margin tailwind Consistently favorable
FXSlight/moderate headwinds noted Q4 ~−0.5% sales headwind; 2025 FX headwind embedded in guidance Persistent drag
Regional TrendsU.S. strong; international growth in Q3 U.S. +10.9% organic; international +7.9% led by Canada, Europe, EM Broad-based

Management Commentary

  • “We delivered another year of double‑digit organic sales growth while continuing to expand adjusted operating margins and drive adjusted earnings per share growth.” – Kevin Lobo, CEO .
  • “Our adjusted operating margin was 29.2%… driven by positive pricing, manufacturing cost improvements and mix.” – Glenn Boehnlein, CFO .
  • “We had another record quarter and year of [Mako] installations in the U.S. and worldwide… we are approaching 2/3 of knees and 1/3 of hips performed using Mako.” – Jason Beach, VP IR .
  • “We announced an agreement to sell our Spinal Implants business… we remain committed to enabling technologies for the spine market, including our Q Guidance System, Copilot and Mako Spine.” – Kevin Lobo .
  • “We expect organic net sales growth to be in the range of 8% to 9% for 2025, and adjusted net earnings per share to be $13.45 to $13.70… assumes a full year adjusted operating margin of 26.3%.” – Glenn Boehnlein .

Q&A Highlights

  • Spine divestiture and seasonality: Management expects EPS and seasonality cadence to mirror 2024; Spine impact is not material at the consolidated level .
  • Inari acquisition: High double‑digit growth assumed; stub period ~$590M sales; dilution at EPS from financing; ROIC expected to reach WACC in 5–7 years per typical framework .
  • Margin expansion drivers: Purchasing, low‑cost manufacturing expansion (Poland, Tijuana), shared services leverage, R&D cost efficiencies, global pricing gains .
  • Capital environment and ASCs: Hospital CapEx healthy; increasing ASC adoption with U.S. knees ~17% and hips ~14% in ASCs in Q4, steadily rising .
  • Tariffs/macro: Monitoring potential Mexico/Canada tariffs; limited exposure (1 of ~40 plants); too early to assess impact .

Estimates Context

  • Attempted to retrieve S&P Global consensus for Q4 2024 EPS and revenue and prior quarters; data was unavailable due to SPGI daily request limit exceeded. As a result, comparisons vs. Wall Street consensus could not be presented in this recap. When available, future comparisons will anchor to S&P Global consensus [GetEstimates errors].

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Quality of beat: Strong underlying performance with double‑digit organic growth and significant adjusted margin expansion; GAAP EPS decline was driven by non‑cash Spine impairments, not core operations .
  • 2025 setup constructive: Organic 8–9% growth and adjusted EPS $13.45–$13.70 reflect confidence in demand, pricing, and operating leverage despite FX and interest expense headwinds .
  • Robotics and portfolio catalysts: Record Mako adoption plus the addition of Mako Spine and Mako Shoulder create medium‑term procedural and mix tailwinds; Spine divestiture sharpens focus on higher‑growth adjacencies .
  • Segment breadth matters: MedSurg/Neurotechnology and Trauma & Extremities continue to post double‑digit growth; LIFEPAK 35 and Pangea plate system add near‑term momentum .
  • Watch FX and financing: FX 1% sales headwind and higher interest expense ($260M other income/expense) temper EPS; margin expansion plan offsets much of this pressure .
  • Transaction impacts: Inari adds growth and endovascular adjacency with modest dilution in 2025; Spine divestiture is strategically aligned and largely immaterial to consolidated growth trajectory .
  • Dividend signaling: 5% raise to $0.84 in Q4 indicates confidence in cash generation and capital allocation consistency .

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